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Santurtzi vs Balmaseda

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Santurtzi and Balmaseda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balmaseda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Santurtzi
30%
Draws
51%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santurtzi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 20%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi Balmaseda
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 14 12
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.95 1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Balmaseda
1:2
May 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Santurtzi
2:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Santurtzi
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Balmaseda
0:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Balmaseda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 32 / 100
Balmaseda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balmaseda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santurtzi scored in 68% of their last 38 games.

Balmaseda let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Santurtzi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
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Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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