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Santurtzi vs Leioa

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Santurtzi and Leioa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santurtzi
35%
Draws
32%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leioa come out ahead of Santurtzi on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Santurtzi taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 18%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi Leioa
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Leioa
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Santurtzi
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Santurtzi vs Leioa
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Leioa
1:0
Oct 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Santurtzi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 36 / 100
Leioa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santurtzi scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Leioa conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Santurtzi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS Leioa
0.67 Goals Scored 1
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.38
67% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
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Leioa

(Away)
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
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