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Santurtzi vs Somorrostro

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Santurtzi
20%
Draws
57%
Somorrostro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Somorrostro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Somorrostro at 1.23 per game, Santurtzi at 0.88.
  • Somorrostro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 20%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi Somorrostro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2021 Club Friendly
Santurtzi vs Somorrostro
1:3
May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Santurtzi
3:0
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Somorrostro
0:0
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Somorrostro
3:2
Sep 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Santurtzi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 10 / 100
Somorrostro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi Somorrostro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santurtzi's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Somorrostro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Santurtzi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
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Somorrostro

(Away)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
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