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Santurtzi vs Urduliz FT

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
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Match Events

17' Event
Grande I.
51' Event
Grande I.

AI Match Summary

Santurtzi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santurtzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Santurtzi
20%
Draws
57%
Urduliz FT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Santurtzi have won more games recently than Urduliz FT.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 21%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi Urduliz FT
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Urduliz FT
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Santurtzi
1:1
Jan 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Santurtzi
1:1
Oct 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Urduliz FT
1:2
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Urduliz FT
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santurtzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Grande I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Urduliz FT Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 37 / 100
Urduliz FT 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi Urduliz FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urduliz FT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santurtzi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Urduliz FT conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Santurtzi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
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Urduliz FT

(Away)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)