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Santurtzi vs Urgatzi

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santurtzi in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santurtzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Santurtzi
15%
Draws
0%
Urgatzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santurtzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Santurtzi have won more games recently than Urgatzi.
  • Santurtzi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 68%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi Urgatzi
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 14 2
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.05 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.32 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Urgatzi
4:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs Santurtzi
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 95 / 100
Urgatzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi Urgatzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santurtzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Urgatzi conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Urgatzi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Santurtzi found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (41 games).

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
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Urgatzi

(Away)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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