Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20

EC Sao Bernardo U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Caetano U20 play EC Sao Bernardo U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Caetano U20 averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. EC Sao Bernardo U20 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Caetano U20 won 2, EC Sao Bernardo U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sao Caetano U20 and 1.50 for EC Sao Bernardo U20. This points to a EC Sao Bernardo U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sao Caetano U20

15%

Draws

49%

EC Sao Bernardo U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Sao Caetano U20 picked up more points recently compared to EC Sao Bernardo U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 16%

EC Sao Bernardo U20 Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Caetano U20	EC Sao Bernardo U20
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	14
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.14	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2025 Paulista U20

EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Sao Caetano U20

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Jun 7, 2024 Paulista U20

EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Sao Caetano U20

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

May 3, 2024 Paulista U20

Sao Caetano U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano U20 36 / 100

EC Sao Bernardo U20 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Caetano U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EC Sao Bernardo U20 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Caetano U20 attacking → ← attacking EC Sao Bernardo U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Caetano U20 scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

EC Sao Bernardo U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sao Caetano U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

EC Sao Bernardo U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 46

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviaria U20	4	3	1	0	8:1	10
2	Corinthians U20	4	3	1	0	4:0	10
3	CA Juventus U20	4	3	0	1	12:4	9
4	Santos U20	4	2	2	0	4:0	8
5	Portuguesa U20	4	2	1	1	7:4	7
6	Ponte Preta U20	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
7	Jabaquara U20	4	2	0	2	3:3	6
8	Portuguesa Santista U20	4	2	0	2	8:10	6
9	Sao Bento U20	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
10	Uniao Suzano U20	4	1	1	2	4:7	4
11	Sertaozinho U20	4	1	1	2	1:4	4
12	Itapirense U20	4	1	0	3	5:9	3
13	Mirassol U20	4	0	1	3	3:8	1
14	America SP U20	4	0	0	4	0:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ibrachina U20	4	4	0	0	14:2	12
2	Osasco Sporting U20	4	4	0	0	9:5	12
3	Desportivo U20	5	4	0	1	6:3	12
4	Sao Paulo U20	4	3	1	0	7:0	10
5	Uniao Sao Joao U20	5	1	3	1	4:3	6
6	Novorizontino U20	5	1	2	2	7:6	5
7	Paulinense U20	5	1	2	2	5:7	5
8	EC Sao Bernardo U20	4	1	2	1	4:6	5
9	Aguai U20	5	1	2	2	5:10	5
10	Santo Andre U20	5	1	1	3	6:7	4
11	Bandeirante U20	5	1	1	3	3:8	4
12	Piracicaba U20	5	0	4	1	4:6	4
13	Sao Caetano U20	5	1	0	4	5:10	3
14	Botafogo SP U20	4	0	3	1	4:5	3
15	Velo Clube U20	5	0	3	2	2:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	4	4	0	0	9:0	12
2	Bragantino U20	4	4	0	0	12:4	12
3	Agua Santa U20	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
4	Guarani U20	4	3	0	1	7:4	9
5	Gremio Prudente U20	5	2	1	2	6:8	7
6	XV de Jau U20	5	2	1	2	4:6	7
7	Sfera U20	5	2	0	3	9:6	6
8	Flamengo SP U20	5	2	0	3	5:7	6
9	Ituano U20	4	1	3	0	6:5	6
10	Capivariano U20	5	1	3	1	5:6	6
11	Tanabi U20	5	1	2	2	7:8	5
12	Osasco Audax U20	5	1	2	2	3:5	5
13	Maua FC U20	5	1	2	2	3:9	5
14	Referencia U20	5	0	1	4	4:11	1
15	Porto Football U20	5	0	1	4	0:7	1