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Sao Caetano vs Jabaquara Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Jeovan
35' Event
Rikelmi

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Sao Caetano and Jabaquara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Caetano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Sao Caetano
30%
Draws
62%
Jabaquara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jabaquara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Jabaquara haven't matched Sao Caetano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jabaquara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 17%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano Jabaquara
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao Caetano vs Jabaquara
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Paulista A4
Sao Caetano vs Jabaquara
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Caetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeovan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rikelmi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Jabaquara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano 10 / 100
Jabaquara 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano Jabaquara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jabaquara has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Caetano scored in 52% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Sao Caetano stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano VS Jabaquara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Caetano

(Home)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 7

Jabaquara

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)