Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
da Conceicao Honorato E.
90'
90'
Cordeiro A. R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sao Carlos lately — more wins on the board than Santacruzense.
- Sao Carlos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 68%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Carlos | Santacruzense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Sao Carlos
1:1
May 16, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Santacruzense
1:1
Feb 19, 2014 Paulista A3
Santacruzense vs Sao Carlos
0:1
Mar 9, 2013 Paulista A2
Sao Carlos vs Santacruzense
2:1
Mar 10, 2012 Paulista A2
Sao Carlos vs Santacruzense
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Carlos Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordeiro A. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Santacruzense Compare
Top Goalscorer da Conceicao Honorato E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Carlos 95 / 100
Santacruzense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Carlos Santacruzense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Carlos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Carlos found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).
Santacruzense let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sao Carlos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sao Carlos VS Santacruzense
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Carlos
(Home) 05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
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27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
02 May
Sao Carlos
0 : 2 Matonense
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Santacruzense
(Away) 04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
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04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
