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Sao Francisco vs Pinheirense

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Campeonato Paraense 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Endy
29' Event
Paulista
44' Event
Claydir

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Paraense 2017 game between Sao Francisco and Pinheirense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinheirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sao Francisco
17%
Draws
13%
Pinheirense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Francisco come out ahead of Pinheirense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sao Francisco a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sao Francisco Clean Sheet 16%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco Pinheirense
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 10 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2017 Paraense
Pinheirense vs Sao Francisco
0:1
Jan 29, 2017 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Pinheirense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulista
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pinheirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Endy
1 Goals
Assists Leader Claydir
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco 66 / 100
Pinheirense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco Pinheirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pinheirense conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

Sao Francisco found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sao Francisco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco VS Pinheirense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paysandu PA1062217:520
2Sao Raimundo PA1045115:917
3Cameta102356:169
4Paragominas1022612:188
5Pinheirense101276:185
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo1064018:722
2Independente1053216:1118
3Aguia De Maraba1043314:1015
4Castanhal1043312:1115
5Sao Francisco102176:177