Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Ronaldy
15'
15'
Alves J.
90'
90'
de Carvalho Santos E.
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Sao Francisco and Tuna Luso finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Francisco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sao Francisco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tuna Luso come out ahead of Sao Francisco on wins alone.
- Model gives Sao Francisco a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sao Francisco Clean Sheet 68%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Francisco | Tuna Luso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.33 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.33 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2026 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Sao Francisco
1:0
Feb 24, 2025 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Tuna Luso
2:1
Apr 11, 2024 Copa Grao Para
Tuna Luso vs Sao Francisco
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Sao Francisco
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Tuna Luso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Francisco Compare
Top Goalscorer Ronaldy
1 Goals Assists Leader de Carvalho Santos E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17
Tuna Luso Compare
Top Goalscorer Alves J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Francisco 50 / 100
Tuna Luso 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Francisco Tuna Luso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Francisco found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Tuna Luso has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Sao Francisco remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sao Francisco VS Tuna Luso
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Francisco
(Home) 15 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0 Sao Francisco
11 Feb
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
04 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0 Remo
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0 Remo
27 Jan
Sao Francisco
3 : 1 Capitao Poco
24 Feb
Sao Francisco
2 : 1 Tuna Luso
10 Feb
Sao Francisco
2 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 3
Tuna Luso
(Away) 27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2 Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3 Tuna Luso
02 May
Tocantinopolis
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
25 Apr
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)