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Sao Gabriel MS vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sao Gabriel MS
39%
Draws
30%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Clube de Regatas Aquidauana have won more games recently than Sao Gabriel MS.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 14%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Matches Played 16 19
Wins 2 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Sao Gabriel MS
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS 31 / 100
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana conceded in 68% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Gabriel MS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Gabriel MS scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel MS VS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel MS

(Home)
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
27 Jun
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

(Away)
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
15 Feb
Ivinhema
1 : 0
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
07 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 : 1
Corumbaense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bataguassu1072127:923
2Clube de Regatas Aquidauana1072123:723
3Maracaju1044212:1316
4Comercial MS1024412:1710
5Esporte Clube Taveiropolis1020811:256
6Sao Gabriel MS101276:205
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Main)