Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Gabriel vs EC Sao Jose (PA)

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Wed, Nov 5, 2025
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa FGF 2025. This has EC Sao Jose (PA) written all over it on paper. EC Sao Jose (PA) have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Sao Gabriel have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Sao Gabriel slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 0.99) point toward EC Sao Jose (PA). Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sao Gabriel
6%
Draws
90%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EC Sao Jose (PA)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Gabriel haven't matched EC Sao Jose (PA)'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans EC Sao Jose (PA)'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sao Gabriel Clean Sheet 20%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel EC Sao Jose (PA)
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 1 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Copa FGF
Sao Gabriel vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel 10 / 100
EC Sao Jose (PA) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel EC Sao Jose (PA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Gabriel's goal record stands at 28% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

EC Sao Jose (PA)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel

(Home)
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5
SC Sao Paulo
09 Nov
Pelotas
3 : 0
Sao Gabriel
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0
Sao Gabriel
29 Oct
Internacional 2
7 : 0
Sao Gabriel
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
Page 1 of 6

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Away)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
21 Jun
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pelotas751119:316
2SC Gaucho742111:314
3Brasil de Pelotas734016:413
4Esportivo Bento Goncalves733112:612
5Aimore73139:510
6EC Juventude 271245:167
7Internacional 2720510:156
8Sao Gabriel70160:30-4
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)