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Sao Gabriel vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Matheuzinho
80' Event
Fabiano

AI Match Summary

Esportivo Bento Goncalves in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sao Gabriel
6%
Draws
90%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esportivo Bento Goncalves lately — more wins on the board than Sao Gabriel.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Esportivo Bento Goncalves taking it.
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esportivo Bento Goncalves, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sao Gabriel Clean Sheet 10%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 1 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Copa FGF
Sao Gabriel vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Gabriel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheuzinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabiano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel 10 / 100
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel Esportivo Bento Goncalves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sao Gabriel's goal record stands at 28% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Esportivo Bento Goncalves has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel VS Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel

(Home)
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5
SC Sao Paulo
09 Nov
Pelotas
3 : 0
Sao Gabriel
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0
Sao Gabriel
29 Oct
Internacional 2
7 : 0
Sao Gabriel
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
Page 1 of 6

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Away)
16 Nov
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 1
Aimore
12 Nov
Aimore
1 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
09 Nov
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
01 Nov
EC Juventude 2
1 : 3
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
25 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pelotas751119:316
2SC Gaucho742111:314
3Brasil de Pelotas734016:413
4Esportivo Bento Goncalves733112:612
5Aimore73139:510
6EC Juventude 271245:167
7Internacional 2720510:156
8Sao Gabriel70160:30-4
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)