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Sao Goncalo vs Paduano EC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Sao Goncalo Logo

Sao Goncalo

0 - 0
FT
Paduano EC Logo

Paduano EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Sao Goncalo and Paduano EC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sao Goncalo
30%
Draws
33%
Paduano EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Paduano EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Sao Goncalo taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Goncalo Paduano EC
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2024 Carioca B1
Paduano EC vs Sao Goncalo
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Goncalo vs Paduano EC
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Goncalo vs Paduano EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Goncalo 59 / 100
Paduano EC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Goncalo Paduano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paduano EC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Sao Goncalo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sao Goncalo scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Goncalo VS Paduano EC
1 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Goncalo

(Home)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
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Paduano EC

(Away)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
30 Aug
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
Paduano EC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)