Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Paulista. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. EC Sao Bernardo have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Sao Jose EC have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Sao Jose EC have won 3 to EC Sao Bernardo's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2023, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Sao Jose EC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- EC Sao Bernardo haven't matched Sao Jose EC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sao Jose EC's way, sitting at 60%.
- Sao Jose EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sao Jose EC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Jose EC | EC Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Jose EC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: EC Sao Bernardo conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Sao Jose EC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Jose EC
(Home)EC Sao Bernardo
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marilia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Linense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Bandeirante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comercial | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Piracicaba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Noroeste | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paulista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Juventus-SP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Primavera EC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santo Andre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | EC Sao Bernardo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sao Jose EC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |