Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Santos Oliveira L.
54'
54'
Robert Dias
87'
87'
Cardoso K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Jose EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- EC Sao Bernardo haven't matched Sao Jose EC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sao Jose EC's way, sitting at 60%.
- Sao Jose EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sao Jose EC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Jose EC | EC Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Jose EC
2:3
Jul 25, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs EC Sao Bernardo
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Jose EC
2:3
Jan 28, 2023 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs EC Sao Bernardo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Jose EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos Oliveira L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cardoso K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
EC Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Robert Dias
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Jose EC 68 / 100
EC Sao Bernardo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Jose EC EC Sao Bernardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Sao Jose EC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sao Jose EC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
EC Sao Bernardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sao Jose EC VS EC Sao Bernardo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Jose EC
(Home) 19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0 Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0 Santo Andre
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19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0 Comercial
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0 Santo Andre
25 Jul
Sao Jose EC
2 : 1 EC Sao Bernardo
15 Apr
Sao Jose EC
5 : 0 Sertaozinho
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EC Sao Bernardo
(Away) 05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
01 Aug
Sao Caetano
1 : 4 EC Sao Bernardo
25 Jul
Sao Jose EC
2 : 1 EC Sao Bernardo
04 Apr
Marilia
3 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
