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Sapanca Genclikspor vs Ergene Velimese

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ekici B.
42' Event
Ekici B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024 game between Sapanca Genclikspor and Ergene Velimese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sapanca Genclikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sapanca Genclikspor
40%
Draws
29%
Ergene Velimese
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ergene Velimese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sapanca Genclikspor Clean Sheet 20%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sapanca Genclikspor Ergene Velimese
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 3. Lig Group 2
Ergene Velimese vs Sapanca Genclikspor
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Sapanca Genclikspor vs Ergene Velimese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sapanca Genclikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekici B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ergene Velimese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sapanca Genclikspor 32 / 100
Ergene Velimese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sapanca Genclikspor Ergene Velimese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sapanca Genclikspor scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ergene Velimese conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sapanca Genclikspor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ergene Velimese
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batman Petrolspor28179254:1960
2Elazigspor281610241:2058
3Karsiyaka28174757:3355
4Turgutlu28145942:3547
5Soke 197028138741:3847
6Eskisehir Anadolu281161134:3339
7Silifke281041429:3934
8Pazarspor28961328:3333
9Amasyaspor28891126:3233
10Bulvarspor28891126:3133
11Ergene Velimese28881229:3532
12Kelkit Bld.28871328:3531
13Hacettepe 194528851525:3229
14Eynesil28831723:4924
15Sapanca Genclikspor28651730:4920