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Saprissa vs Herediano

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Blanco R.
20'
Brown K.
42'
Quiros H.

AI Match Summary

Saprissa in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saprissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saprissa
40%
Draws
29%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saprissa lately — more wins on the board than Herediano.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 20%
Herediano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Herediano
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 21 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Recopa de Costa Rica
Herediano vs Saprissa
1:0
May 17, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Saprissa
2:0
May 14, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Herediano
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Herediano
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Saprissa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 32 / 100
Herediano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saprissa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Herediano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Herediano
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 7

Herediano

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)