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Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC

USA USA

USL League One Premier Sports Campus, Lakewood Ranch, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Desdunes J.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez A. In: Watters D.
Out: Rodriguez A.
49' Event
Rosa A.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Sarasota Paradise and AV Alta FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AV Alta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sarasota Paradise
33%
Draws
40%
AV Alta FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AV Alta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarasota Paradise haven't matched AV Alta FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AV Alta FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 16%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarasota Paradise AV Alta FC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Sarasota Paradise
3:1
May 16, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarasota Paradise Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Desdunes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 28 / 100
AV Alta FC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarasota Paradise AV Alta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

AV Alta FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Sarasota Paradise remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sarasota Paradise scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarasota Paradise VS AV Alta FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Sarasota Paradise
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
08 Jul
Greenville Triumph
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
21 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
4 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6

AV Alta FC

(Away)
26 Jul
AV Alta FC
0 : 0
Westchester SC
18 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 3
AV Alta FC
15 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha18112529:2135
2Charlotte Independence17103439:2633
3One Knoxville17103430:1733
4Spokane Velocity18102625:2232
5Athletic Club Boise1893627:2530
6Forward Madison1592429:1529
7AV Alta FC1978426:2129
8Chattanooga Red Wolves1591528:1728
9Fort Wayne1776425:1727
10Corpus Christi FC1857621:2622
11Portland Hearts of Pine1755726:2820
12Westchester SC1854928:2519
13Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
14FC Naples18521119:3017
15Greenville Triumph1542914:2514
16Richmond Kickers17331113:3312
17New York Cosmos17321218:3811
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)