Sport Picks
Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville
USA
USL League One Premier Sports Campus 
AI Match Summary
Sarasota Paradise play One Knoxville in the USL League One. One Knoxville are favorites here. Recently, Sarasota Paradise averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. One Knoxville averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Sarasota Paradise won 0, One Knoxville won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sarasota Paradise and 1.63 for One Knoxville. This points to a One Knoxville double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sarasota Paradise picked up more points recently compared to One Knoxville.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarasota Paradise | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarasota Paradise Compare
One Knoxville Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarasota Paradise scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
One Knoxville let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Sarasota Paradise went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
One Knoxville lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 34:18 | 30 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 30 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 23:18 | 25 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 6 | Fort Wayne | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 23 |
| 8 | Spokane Velocity | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18:26 | 17 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:23 | 14 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:21 | 13 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16:33 | 7 |