Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Sarinena and Almudevar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almudevar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almudevar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Almudevar come out ahead of Sarinena on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Sarinena taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sarinena Clean Sheet 20%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarinena | Almudevar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Almudevar
1:2
Jan 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Sarinena
1:3
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Sarinena
1:2
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Almudevar
2:0
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Sarinena
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarinena 58 / 100
Almudevar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarinena Almudevar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarinena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarinena's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Almudevar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Sarinena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Almudevar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarinena
(Home) 02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2 UD Barbastro
13 Jun
Tamarite
3 : 0 Sarinena
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0 Valdefierro
30 May
CD Carinena
2 : 1 Sarinena
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0 Fraga
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02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2 UD Barbastro
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0 Valdefierro
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0 Fraga
09 May
Sarinena
3 : 0 San Juan Zaragoza
02 May
Sarinena
2 : 1 Tamarite
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Almudevar
(Away) 06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0 SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2 Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0 Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1 CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0 Almudevar
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03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0 Almudevar
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0 Almudevar
02 Apr
UD Casetas
3 : 1 Almudevar
21 Mar
La Almunia
3 : 0 Almudevar
08 Mar
CD Belchite 97
0 : 1 Almudevar
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teruel | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 34:11 | 49 |
| 2 | Huesca B | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 36:18 | 45 |
| 3 | CD Belchite 97 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 22:9 | 35 |
| 4 | Zaragoza B | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 32:14 | 34 |
| 5 | CF Illueca | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:16 | 34 |
| 6 | Binefar | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:17 | 32 |
| 7 | Atletico Monzon | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 26:19 | 31 |
| 8 | CD Carinena | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:23 | 27 |
| 9 | Tamarite | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 19:29 | 25 |
| 10 | Valdefierro | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20:36 | 22 |
| 11 | Fraga | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 12 | San Juan Zaragoza | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brea | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:12 | 42 |
| 2 | CD Cuarte | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Utebo FC | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 37 |
| 4 | UD Barbastro | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27:18 | 36 |
| 5 | Borja | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 31 |
| 6 | Calamocha | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24:19 | 30 |
| 7 | Sarinena | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36:36 | 29 |
| 8 | Epila | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Robres | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:31 | 26 |
| 10 | Almudevar | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 17:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Villanueva CF | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 16:39 | 18 |
| 12 | Sabinanigo | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:37 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
