Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Stadio Ciudad de La Banda

San Martin Formosa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento de La Banda play San Martin Formosa in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sarmiento de La Banda averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. San Martin Formosa averaged 1.51 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Sarmiento de La Banda won 2, San Martin Formosa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 1.50 for San Martin Formosa. This points to a San Martin Formosa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Sarmiento de La Banda

21%

Draws

41%

San Martin Formosa

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: San Martin Formosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Sarmiento de La Banda picked up more points recently compared to San Martin Formosa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 16%

San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarmiento de La Banda	San Martin Formosa
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	12	17
Draws	7	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	0.87	1.51
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Federal

Sarmiento de La Banda vs San Martin Formosa

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Apr 6, 2025 Torneo Federal

Sarmiento de La Banda vs San Martin Formosa

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Aug 11, 2024 Torneo Federal

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento de La Banda 37 / 100

San Martin Formosa 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarmiento de La Banda San Martin Formosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Martin Formosa or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sarmiento de La Banda attacking → ← attacking San Martin Formosa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento de La Banda scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

San Martin Formosa let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sarmiento de La Banda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Martin Formosa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 58

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9