Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 Logo

Sarmiento Junin 2

3 - 1
FT
Atl. Rafaela 2 Logo

Atl. Rafaela 2

Our Tip

Match Events

65'
66' Event
75' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Sarmiento Junin 2 and Atl. Rafaela 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento Junin 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sarmiento Junin 2
35%
Draws
37%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Rafaela 2 haven't matched Sarmiento Junin 2's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Junin 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3:1
Apr 22, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Junin 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 2 41 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Junin 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarmiento Junin 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarmiento Junin 2 scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Atl. Rafaela 2 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sarmiento Junin 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Junin 2

(Home)
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
01 Sept
Argentinos Jrs 2
1 : 1
Sarmiento Junin 2
25 Aug
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 0
Aldosivi 2
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Away)
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
01 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
26 Aug
Platense 2
1 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 11 5 6 0 18:8 21
2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 11 6 1 4 13:11 19
3 Rosario Central 2 11 5 4 2 15:14 19
4 Velez Sarsfield 2 11 4 5 2 11:4 17
5 Sarmiento Junin 2 11 4 5 2 11:7 17
6 Talleres Cordoba 2 11 4 5 2 12:9 17
7 Gimnasia L.P. 2 11 4 4 3 11:6 16
8 Godoy Cruz 2 11 4 4 3 14:12 16
9 San Lorenzo 2 11 4 2 5 12:11 14
10 Instituto 2 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
11 Tigre 2 11 4 2 5 15:19 14
12 Union de Santa Fe 2 11 2 7 2 12:10 13
13 Racing Club 2 11 2 6 3 17:18 12
14 Atl. Tucuman 2 11 3 3 5 7:13 12
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 11 2 5 4 7:11 11
16 Banfield 2 11 2 3 6 10:17 9
17 Aldosivi 2 11 1 5 5 9:14 8
18 Barracas Central 2 11 1 4 6 8:19 7
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 11 8 2 1 25:9 26
2 Lanus 2 11 7 2 2 20:13 23
3 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 11 6 4 1 11:5 22
4 Deportivo Riestra 2 11 6 2 3 19:10 20
5 Estudiantes L.P. 2 11 6 2 3 18:10 20
6 Boca Juniors 2 11 5 4 2 15:8 19
7 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 11 5 4 2 16:15 19
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 11 5 4 2 14:13 19
9 Quilmes 2 11 4 3 4 9:9 15
10 Huracan 2 11 4 2 5 13:10 14
11 Newells Old Boys 2 11 3 4 4 13:11 13
12 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 11 3 3 5 10:16 12
13 Defensa y Justicia 2 11 2 5 4 17:18 11
14 San Martin S.J. 2 11 2 4 5 7:18 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 11 2 3 6 12:20 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 11 2 2 7 8:16 8
17 Platense 2 11 0 6 5 4:13 6
18 Ferro 2 11 1 2 8 9:24 5
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)