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Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Simenstad G.
74' Event
Gueye B.
87' Event
Camil Mmaee

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sarpsborg 08
35%
Draws
35%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ham-Kam lately — more wins on the board than Sarpsborg 08.
  • Model gives Sarpsborg 08 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sarpsborg 08 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08
1:3
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camil Mmaee
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Simenstad G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mettler L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 42 / 100
Ham-Kam 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Ham-Kam
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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Ham-Kam

(Away)
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5
Ham-Kam
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