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Sasel vs TSV Buchholz 08 Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Buchholz 08 in this Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Buchholz 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Sasel
30%
Draws
62%
TSV Buchholz 08
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Buchholz 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • TSV Buchholz 08 have won more games recently than Sasel.
  • TSV Buchholz 08 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TSV Buchholz 08 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Buchholz 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasel TSV Buchholz 08
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.39 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs TSV Buchholz 08
0:4
Mar 24, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs TSV Buchholz 08
1:5
Aug 23, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Buchholz 08 vs Sasel
7:2
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Buchholz 08 vs Sasel
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs TSV Buchholz 08
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasel 26 / 100
TSV Buchholz 08 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasel TSV Buchholz 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Buchholz 08 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

TSV Buchholz 08 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Sasel has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sasel VS TSV Buchholz 08
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasel

(Home)
02 Oct
SC Victoria Hamburg
2 : 2
Sasel
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
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TSV Buchholz 08

(Away)
29 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
6 : 3
TSV Buchholz 08
27 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt II
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
13 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
5 : 5
Altona
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
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