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Saunders vs Renown

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Aakib M.
29' Event
Abishek B.
33' Event
Gimhan P.

AI Match Summary

Renown in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Saunders
28%
Draws
50%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Renown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renown lately — more wins on the board than Saunders.
  • Renown are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Saunders Clean Sheet 20%
Renown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saunders Renown
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Super League
Saunders vs Renown
2:4
Jan 10, 2019 Super League
Saunders vs Renown
3:2
Sep 3, 2017 Super League
Renown vs Saunders
1:1
Jun 24, 2016 Super League
Saunders vs Renown
1:2
Aug 22, 2015 Super League
Renown vs Saunders
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saunders Compare

Top Goalscorer Abishek B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gimhan P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Renown Compare

Top Goalscorer Aakib M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Faik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saunders 24 / 100
Renown 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saunders Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saunders scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Renown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Saunders went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saunders VS Renown
3 Goals Scored 1
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 50%
80% Over 2.5 38%
80% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Saunders5
Java Lane0
Renown-
Maligawatte Youth-
Final
Saunders2
Renown4