Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2018/2019

ASD Francavilla

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Savignanese play ASD Francavilla in the Serie D - Group F 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Savignanese averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. ASD Francavilla averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Savignanese won 0, ASD Francavilla won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2019 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Savignanese and 1.19 for ASD Francavilla. This points to a ASD Francavilla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Savignanese

35%

Draws

43%

ASD Francavilla

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASD Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Savignanese picked up more points recently compared to ASD Francavilla.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Savignanese Clean Sheet 20%

ASD Francavilla Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Savignanese	ASD Francavilla
Matches Played	23	30
Wins	4	11
Draws	8	13
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	0.91	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group F

ASD Francavilla vs Savignanese

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Dec 22, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Savignanese vs ASD Francavilla

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savignanese 24 / 100

ASD Francavilla 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Savignanese ASD Francavilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASD Francavilla or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Savignanese attacking → ← attacking ASD Francavilla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savignanese scored in 61% of their last 23 games.

ASD Francavilla let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Savignanese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ASD Francavilla lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 46

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cesena	38	25	8	5	70:29	83
2	Matelica	38	25	5	8	74:36	80
3	Recanatese	38	15	18	5	55:35	63
4	Pineto	38	17	11	10	59:41	62
5	Sangiustese	38	15	16	7	49:39	61
6	ASD Francavilla	38	15	15	8	59:44	60
7	Notaresco Calcio	38	14	12	12	48:43	54
8	Jesina	38	12	15	11	34:38	51
9	Montegiorgio	38	13	12	13	36:43	51
10	Sammaurese	38	12	13	13	36:48	49
11	Savignanese	38	12	12	14	43:43	48
12	Campobasso	38	12	13	13	50:50	47
13	Giulianova	38	11	11	16	35:48	44
14	Forli FC	38	10	13	15	47:47	43
15	Avezzano	38	13	6	19	47:50	42
16	Vastese	38	11	9	18	47:61	42
17	Agnonese	38	8	15	15	36:47	39
18	Santarcangelo	38	8	13	17	41:61	37
19	Isernia	38	8	11	19	28:53	35
20	Castelfidardo	38	5	10	23	35:73	25