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SB Castelo Branco vs Condeixa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SB Castelo Branco in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SB Castelo Branco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
SB Castelo Branco
30%
Draws
23%
Condeixa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SB Castelo Branco have won more games recently than Condeixa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 68%
Condeixa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Castelo Branco Condeixa
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 23 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.85 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Condeixa vs SB Castelo Branco
2:2
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SB Castelo Branco vs Condeixa
4:1
Feb 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Condeixa vs SB Castelo Branco
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SB Castelo Branco vs Condeixa
1:0
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs Condeixa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Castelo Branco 41 / 100
Condeixa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Castelo Branco Condeixa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SB Castelo Branco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Castelo Branco's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Condeixa has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SB Castelo Branco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SB Castelo Branco VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Castelo Branco

(Home)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
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Condeixa

(Away)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
Condeixa
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 1
Condeixa
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