Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Mirandela vs Vilaverdense FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Slagalo N.
45'
Botelho J.
51' Event
Pedras N.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between SC Mirandela and Vilaverdense FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SC Mirandela
6%
Draws
4%
Vilaverdense FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Mirandela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Mirandela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SC Mirandela taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 68%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Mirandela Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 2 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Vilaverdense FC
0:2
Oct 22, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs SC Mirandela
3:0
Feb 13, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs SC Mirandela
0:1
Nov 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1
Feb 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs SC Mirandela
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Mirandela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Slagalo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedras N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Mirandela 95 / 100
Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Mirandela Vilaverdense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilaverdense FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Vilaverdense FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

SC Mirandela scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Mirandela VS Vilaverdense FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Mirandela

(Home)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
Page 1 of 6

Vilaverdense FC

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)