Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Salgueiros vs Florgrade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sequeira G.
70' Event
Guilherme Vintem

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between SC Salgueiros and Florgrade finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Salgueiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SC Salgueiros
30%
Draws
33%
Florgrade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Florgrade come out ahead of SC Salgueiros on wins alone.
  • Model gives SC Salgueiros a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Florgrade
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Florgrade
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs SC Salgueiros
1:0
Sep 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Florgrade
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Sequeira G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Vintem
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Florgrade Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 51 / 100
Florgrade 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Florgrade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: SC Salgueiros remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Salgueiros scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Florgrade let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS Florgrade
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 6

Florgrade

(Away)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)