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SC Salgueiros vs Regua

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70'
Fernandes J.
90' Event
Ponce J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between SC Salgueiros and Regua finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Salgueiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
SC Salgueiros
35%
Draws
6%
Regua
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Salgueiros come out ahead of Regua on wins alone.
  • Model gives SC Salgueiros a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%
Regua Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Regua
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Regua vs SC Salgueiros
0:3
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Regua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponce J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Regua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 95 / 100
Regua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Regua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Salgueiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regua let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: SC Salgueiros remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

SC Salgueiros scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS Regua
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
01 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
SC Salgueiros
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Regua

(Away)
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
13 Apr
Guarda FC
1 : 1
Regua
06 Apr
Regua
0 : 3
SC Salgueiros
30 Mar
Uniao Lamas
2 : 1
Regua
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)