Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cavalheiro Ribeiro W.
51' Event
Saracol D.
64' Event
Dillmann Pereira M.

AI Match Summary

SC Sao Paulo in this Club Friendly 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SC Sao Paulo
6%
Draws
4%
SC Rio Grande
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Sao Paulo lately — more wins on the board than SC Rio Grande.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SC Sao Paulo taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SC Sao Paulo have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%
SC Rio Grande Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo SC Rio Grande
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs SC Sao Paulo
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs SC Sao Paulo
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
3:0
Aug 2, 2021 Club Friendly
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavalheiro Ribeiro W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saracol D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SC Rio Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 85 / 100
SC Rio Grande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo SC Rio Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Rio Grande let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

SC Sao Paulo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

SC Sao Paulo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS SC Rio Grande
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sao Paulo

(Home)
30 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Apafut
23 Nov
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5
SC Sao Paulo
09 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 0
SC Rio Grande
26 Oct
Riograndense
0 : 1
SC Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6

SC Rio Grande

(Away)
30 Nov
EC Guarani
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
23 Nov
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
EC Guarani
16 Nov
SC Rio Grande
2 : 1
Riograndense
09 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 0
SC Rio Grande
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
Page 1 of 4