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SC Staaken vs Mahlsdorf Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Koster P.
33' Event
Aksakal D.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Thiel N.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 game between SC Staaken and Mahlsdorf finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahlsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SC Staaken
15%
Draws
45%
Mahlsdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahlsdorf come out ahead of SC Staaken on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mahlsdorf a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mahlsdorf here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SC Staaken Clean Sheet 19%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Staaken Mahlsdorf
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 12 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.97 2
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SC Staaken vs Mahlsdorf
2:3
Sep 29, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs SC Staaken
4:0
Mar 8, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SC Staaken vs Mahlsdorf
1:3
Sep 3, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs SC Staaken
1:0
Apr 16, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs SC Staaken
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Staaken Compare

Top Goalscorer Lessel N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Mahlsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Koster P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiel N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Staaken 28 / 100
Mahlsdorf 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Staaken Mahlsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahlsdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

SC Staaken scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Mahlsdorf let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

SC Staaken went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mahlsdorf
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Staaken

(Home)
17 Jan
Rsv Eintracht
5 : 2
SC Staaken
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Berliner AK 07
2 : 0
SC Staaken
23 May
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismar
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Mahlsdorf

(Away)
26 Sept
Mahlsdorf
3 : 1
FSV Schwerin
20 Sept
Berliner AK 07
1 : 0
Mahlsdorf
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Mahlsdorf
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Preussen 30 20 7 3 77:22 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 20 6 4 88:28 66
3 Mahlsdorf 30 20 6 4 82:32 66
4 Hansa Rostock II 30 19 3 8 96:46 60
5 TUS Makkabi 30 13 9 8 60:41 48
6 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 14 6 10 76:66 48
7 TSG Neustrelitz 30 13 6 11 56:48 45
8 Berliner AK 07 30 12 8 10 50:37 44
9 TB Berlin 30 13 3 14 74:71 42
10 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 12 4 14 51:51 40
11 Dynamo Schwerin 30 11 3 16 51:68 36
12 Wismar 30 10 5 15 55:68 35
13 Rathenow 30 7 9 14 46:57 30
14 SC Staaken 30 9 2 19 48:73 29
15 Ahrensfelde 30 5 7 18 46:75 22
16 Rostocker FC 30 0 0 30 10:183 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)