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SC Vila Real vs Aparecida

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mika
53' Event
Sisse A.
59' Event
Mika

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between SC Vila Real and Aparecida finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
SC Vila Real
20%
Draws
60%
Aparecida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aparecida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aparecida come out ahead of SC Vila Real on wins alone.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 16%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real Aparecida
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs SC Vila Real
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Aparecida
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Mika
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Aparecida Compare

Top Goalscorer Sisse A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 31 / 100
Aparecida 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real Aparecida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aparecida Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: SC Vila Real scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Aparecida lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS Aparecida
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

Aparecida

(Away)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)