Sport Picks
Scandicci vs Virtus Castelfranco
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Scandicci and Virtus Castelfranco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scandicci.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Scandicci carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Scandicci's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Scandicci here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scandicci | Virtus Castelfranco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Scandicci vs Virtus Castelfranco
2:1
Oct 9, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Scandicci
1:0
Apr 2, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Scandicci
0:1
Nov 23, 2014 Serie D - Group D
Scandicci vs Virtus Castelfranco
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scandicci 50 / 100
Virtus Castelfranco 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scandicci Virtus Castelfranco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scandicci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Scandicci scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Virtus Castelfranco has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Scandicci went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scandicci VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Scandicci
(Home) 20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0 Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1 Siena
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0 Rondinella
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1 Siena
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
02 Apr
Scandicci
4 : 3 Tau
22 Mar
Scandicci
2 : 1 Camaiore Calcio
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Virtus Castelfranco
(Away) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
02 Apr
Colligiana
2 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
29 Mar
Imolese
1 : 0 Virtus Castelfranco
26 Feb
Poggibonsi
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
