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SCD Durango vs Balmaseda

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between SCD Durango and Balmaseda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
SCD Durango
35%
Draws
38%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 27% — that's where the model lands on SCD Durango taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 17%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Balmaseda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SCD Durango
0:0
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Balmaseda
1:1
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Balmaseda
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SCD Durango
1:0
Mar 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SCD Durango
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 57 / 100
Balmaseda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SCD Durango scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Balmaseda has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

SCD Durango went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
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Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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