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SCD Durango vs Urgatzi

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between SCD Durango and Urgatzi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SCD Durango
20%
Draws
0%
Urgatzi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SCD Durango come out ahead of Urgatzi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SCD Durango's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 17%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Urgatzi
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 13 2
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.23 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.09 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Urgatzi
1:0
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs SCD Durango
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 84 / 100
Urgatzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Urgatzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urgatzi has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Urgatzi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: SCD Durango scored in 67% of their last 43 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
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Urgatzi

(Away)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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