Sport Picks

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Scotland U21 vs Sweden U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mebude A.
Assist: Fiorini L.
14' Event
Larsson H.
Assist: Faraj O.
59' Event
Rosengren O.
Assist: Persson N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Scotland U21 and Sweden U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Scotland U21
30%
Draws
33%
Sweden U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scotland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden U21 come out ahead of Scotland U21 on wins alone.
  • Scotland U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sweden U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland U21 Sweden U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
Scotland U21 vs Sweden U21
2:3
Mar 25, 2019 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs Scotland U21
2:1
Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International
Scotland U21 vs Sweden U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mebude A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fiorini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sweden U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosengren O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland U21 40 / 100
Sweden U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Scotland U21's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sweden U21 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Scotland U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland U21 VS Sweden U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 3
Scotland U21
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Sweden U21

(Away)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
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