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World

World Championship 2026 Hampden Park

Denmark

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Scotland play Denmark in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Scotland averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Denmark averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Scotland won 3, Denmark won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Scotland and 2.00 for Denmark. This points to a Denmark double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Scotland

21%

Draws

42%

Denmark

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Scotland picked up more points recently compared to Denmark.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Scotland Clean Sheet 10%

Denmark Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Scotland	Denmark
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	14
Draws	4	9
Losses	14	7
Goals Scored	1.37	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Scotland vs Denmark

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

4:2

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship

Denmark vs Scotland

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Nov 15, 2021 World Championship

Scotland vs Denmark

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Sep 1, 2021 World Championship

Denmark vs Scotland

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Mar 29, 2016 Friendly International

Scotland vs Denmark

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer McTominay S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shankland L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorgu P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 35 / 100

Denmark 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Scotland Denmark

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Denmark or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Scotland attacking → ← attacking Denmark

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Denmark let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scotland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Denmark lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 51

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0