Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland vs Denmark

World World

World Championship 2026 Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
McTominay S.
Assist: Gannon-Doak B.
10'
Andersen J.
21'
Sub
Gannon-Doak B. In: McLean K.
Out: Gannon-Doak B.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Scotland and Denmark finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scotland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Scotland
15%
Draws
37%
Denmark
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Denmark carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Scotland Clean Sheet 68%
Denmark Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Denmark
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship
Scotland vs Denmark
4:2
Sep 5, 2025 World Championship
Denmark vs Scotland
0:0
Nov 15, 2021 World Championship
Scotland vs Denmark
2:0
Sep 1, 2021 World Championship
Denmark vs Scotland
2:0
Mar 29, 2016 Friendly International
Scotland vs Denmark
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer McTominay S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shankland L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorgu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 41 / 100
Denmark 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Denmark

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Scotland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Denmark let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Denmark
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
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Denmark

(Away)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2
Denmark
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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