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Scunthorpe vs Sunderland U21

England England

National League Cup Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ubaezuonu C.
19'
Sub
Roberts C. In: Chadwick B.
Out: Roberts C.
19'
Sub
Horton B. In: Brogan M.
Out: Horton B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Sunderland U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Scunthorpe
6%
Draws
4%
Sunderland U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Scunthorpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Scunthorpe haven't matched Sunderland U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Scunthorpe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sunderland U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sunderland U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 18%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Sunderland U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 National League Cup
Scunthorpe vs Sunderland U21
2:3
Aug 29, 2017 EFL Trophy
Scunthorpe vs Sunderland U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scunthorpe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubaezuonu C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dawson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Poveda I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 85 / 100
Sunderland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Sunderland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sunderland U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Scunthorpe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Sunderland U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6
Scunthorpe
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2
Scunthorpe
15 Jul
Skegness Town
0 : 1
Scunthorpe
07 Jul
Brigg Town
1 : 7
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland U21

(Away)
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1
Sunderland U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2
Sunderland U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Blackburn U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1
Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamworth440012:112
2Brackley43017:310
3Rochdale43016:59
4Solihull Moors43016:38
5Everton U2142024:55
6Manchester United U2141034:93
7Burnley U2140042:81
8Blackburn U2140042:90
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood440013:412
2Braintree43018:59
3Wealdstone43016:49
4Forest Green42028:67
5Nottingham U2142023:36
6West Brom U2141035:103
7Leicester U2141036:102
8Wolves U2140045:120
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham U21440013:411
2Truro43017:59
3Woking43015:48
4Brighton U2142025:67
5Aldershot41037:114
6Sutton41038:134
7Fulham U2141038:53
8Southampton U2141037:122
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boston United430111:49
2Halifax43016:29
3Newcastle Utd U2142027:67
4Scunthorpe42028:86
5Leeds U2142026:86
6Sunderland U2142025:86
7Middlesbrough U2141036:73
8Gateshead41034:102
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)