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Stadium Background

SD Family vs Shakhter Karagandy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Zhas Kyran Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Altynkhan A.
36'
Kalybayev D.
42'
Shymyrkhan S.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between SD Family and Shakhter Karagandy finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhter Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SD Family
6%
Draws
90%
Shakhter Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shakhter Karagandy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
SD Family Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Family Shakhter Karagandy
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 8 25
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 0.5 3.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2025 First League
SD Family vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2
Apr 18, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs SD Family
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Family Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nusip A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Family 10 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Family Shakhter Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

SD Family's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shakhter Karagandy conceded in 42% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SD Family VS Shakhter Karagandy
0.5 Goals Scored 3.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Family

(Home)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
Page 1 of 7

Shakhter Karagandy

(Away)
24 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 1
Arys
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy
1 : 0
Turan
02 Jul
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
26 Jun
Taraz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809
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