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SD Negreira vs Bergantinos

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between SD Negreira and Bergantinos finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SD Negreira
15%
Draws
53%
Bergantinos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergantinos come out ahead of SD Negreira on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 20%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Negreira Bergantinos
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs SD Negreira
2:0
Sep 24, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Bergantinos
1:1
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Bergantinos
1:4
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs SD Negreira
0:0
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs SD Negreira
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Negreira 10 / 100
Bergantinos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Negreira Bergantinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Negreira's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bergantinos has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

SD Negreira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bergantinos
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Negreira

(Home)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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Bergantinos

(Away)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
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