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SD Noja vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between SD Noja and Gimnastic de Torrelavega finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SD Noja
30%
Draws
47%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Gimnastic de Torrelavega taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gimnastic de Torrelavega here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs SD Noja
6:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs SD Noja
5:1
May 5, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs SD Noja
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 26 / 100
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja Gimnastic de Torrelavega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Gimnastic de Torrelavega has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

SD Noja found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Gimnastic de Torrelavega conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0.83 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Noja

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
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Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Away)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)