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SD Sparta vs Colinas

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 game between SD Sparta and Colinas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SD Sparta
6%
Draws
4%
Colinas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colinas haven't matched SD Sparta's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SD Sparta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SD Sparta here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Colinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Colinas
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.2
Goals Conceded 1.13 5.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 5.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Tocantinense 2
SD Sparta vs Colinas
6:0
Apr 8, 2017 Tocantinense
Colinas vs SD Sparta
0:5
Mar 18, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Colinas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 85 / 100
Colinas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Colinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Colinas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: SD Sparta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Colinas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 80%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto63217:311
2Gurupi63127:710
3Paraiso EC62315:49
4Capital FC60247:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Sparta642013:414
2Tocantinopolis632110:711
3Tocantins62137:87
4Colinas60154:151