Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018

Palmas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta play Palmas in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Palmas averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, SD Sparta won 0, Palmas won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2020 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.53 for SD Sparta and 2.00 for Palmas. This points to a Palmas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

SD Sparta

24%

Draws

38%

Palmas

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

SD Sparta picked up more points recently compared to Palmas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.53 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 10%

Palmas Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Sparta	Palmas
Matches Played	33	36
Wins	14	14
Draws	7	8
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.36	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Palmas

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

May 16, 2018 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Palmas

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Apr 7, 2018 Tocantinense

Palmas vs SD Sparta

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 36 / 100

Palmas 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Sparta Palmas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palmas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SD Sparta attacking → ← attacking Palmas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Palmas let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Palmas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 50

0.67 Goals expected (xG) 3.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Interporto	12	5	7	0	17:7	22
2	Tocantinopolis	12	6	3	3	19:14	21
3	Palmas	12	5	5	2	18:11	20
4	Gurupi	12	5	4	3	23:10	19
5	SD Sparta	12	4	3	5	18:17	15
6	Araguaina	12	3	6	3	13:13	15
7	Paraiso EC	12	0	0	12	0:36	0