Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018

Paraiso EC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta play Paraiso EC in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2018. SD Sparta are favorites here. Recently, SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Paraiso EC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, SD Sparta won 2, Paraiso EC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2018 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for SD Sparta and 1.27 for Paraiso EC. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

SD Sparta

22%

Draws

22%

Paraiso EC

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

SD Sparta picked up more points recently compared to Paraiso EC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.27 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 19%

Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Sparta	Paraiso EC
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	14	6
Draws	7	8
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.36	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2018 Tocantinense

Paraiso EC vs SD Sparta

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Apr 15, 2018 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Paraiso EC

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 54 / 100

Paraiso EC 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Sparta Paraiso EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (1)

Secondary Pick SD Sparta & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SD Sparta attacking → ← attacking Paraiso EC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Paraiso EC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paraiso EC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 26

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.67

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.83

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Interporto	12	5	7	0	17:7	22
2	Tocantinopolis	12	6	3	3	19:14	21
3	Palmas	12	5	5	2	18:11	20
4	Gurupi	12	5	4	3	23:10	19
5	SD Sparta	12	4	3	5	18:17	15
6	Araguaina	12	3	6	3	13:13	15
7	Paraiso EC	12	0	0	12	0:36	0