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SD Videm vs Sampion Celje

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Videm host Sampion Celje in the 3. SNL - East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sampion Celje have shipped 2.7 goals a game lately, while SD Videm have conceded 1.74 and scored 2.19. Head-to-head, SD Videm have won 4 to Sampion Celje's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 4, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.50 - 2.06) back SD Videm to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SD Videm
20%
Draws
30%
Sampion Celje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Videm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Videm lately — more wins on the board than Sampion Celje.
  • Win probability leans SD Videm's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors SD Videm here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SD Videm Clean Sheet 10%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Videm Sampion Celje
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 2.19 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 3. SNL - East
SD Videm vs Sampion Celje
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs SD Videm
1:5
May 25, 2024 3. SNL - East
SD Videm vs Sampion Celje
1:3
Nov 12, 2023 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs SD Videm
0:3
Apr 23, 2023 3. SNL - East
SD Videm vs Sampion Celje
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Videm 65 / 100
Sampion Celje 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Videm Sampion Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Videm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Videm's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sampion Celje conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

SD Videm has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Videm VS Sampion Celje
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Videm

(Home)
27 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
2 : 1
SD Videm
23 Sept
SD Videm
2 : 2
Hajdina
20 Sept
SD Videm
3 : 3
Odranci
11 Sept
Race
1 : 2
SD Videm
06 Sept
SD Videm
2 : 3
Dobrovce
Page 1 of 7

Sampion Celje

(Away)
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 7 6 1 0 24:11 19
2 Fuzinar 7 5 0 2 23:16 15
3 NK Ormoz 7 4 1 2 17:11 13
4 NK Smartno 7 4 1 2 18:14 13
5 Podvinci 8 4 1 3 13:15 13
6 NK Carda Martjanci 7 3 2 2 18:13 11
7 Korotan Prevalje 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 Hajdina 7 2 3 2 13:15 9
9 Ljutomer 8 2 2 4 12:12 8
10 SD Videm 8 2 2 4 14:19 8
11 Race 7 1 3 3 7:9 6
12 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
13 Sampion Celje 7 1 1 5 11:18 4
14 Limbus-Pekre 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)