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Selaya vs Cayon CD

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Ortiz D.
83'
Ortiz M.
89' Event
Santiago J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Selaya and Cayon CD finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Selaya
20%
Draws
47%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cayon CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cayon CD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cayon CD here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Selaya Clean Sheet 14%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selaya Cayon CD
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.76 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Selaya vs Cayon CD
0:3
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Cayon CD
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Selaya
1:0
Aug 16, 2023 Club Friendly
Selaya vs Cayon CD
0:6
Aug 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Selaya vs Cayon CD
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santiago J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selaya 15 / 100
Cayon CD 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selaya Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cayon CD let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Selaya remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Selaya's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Selaya VS Cayon CD
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Selaya

(Home)
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4
Selaya
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Cayon CD

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)