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Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independencia Futebol Clube in this Campeonato Acreano 2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independencia Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Senador Guiomard
6%
Draws
90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Independencia Futebol Clube have won more games recently than Senador Guiomard.
  • Win probability leans Independencia Futebol Clube's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Acreano 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 13%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Independencia Futebol Clube
Matches Played 33 43
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Senador Guiomard
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:0
Mar 7, 2023 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 10 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Independencia Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Independencia Futebol Clube conceded in 72% of 43 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Senador Guiomard remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Senador Guiomard VS Independencia Futebol Clube
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senador Guiomard

(Home)
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1
Galvez
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Independencia Futebol Clube

(Away)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco AC550020:615
2Acreano541012:813
3Vasco da Gama AC531113:1510
4Independencia Futebol Clube51229:115
5Placido de Castro50145:131
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2009 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus RS522115:88
2Nauas EC521211:127
3Andira51139:124
4Sao Francisco FC (AC)51139:144
5Senador Guiomard51049:133
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2009 (Second stage - Play Offs)