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Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
Sat, Mar 22, 2025
0 - 1
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independencia Futebol Clube in this Acreano 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Senador Guiomard
6%
Draws
90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independencia Futebol Clube lately — more wins on the board than Senador Guiomard.
  • Independencia Futebol Clube are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Independencia Futebol Clube arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Independencia Futebol Clube, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 13%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Independencia Futebol Clube
Matches Played 33 43
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Senador Guiomard
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:0
Mar 7, 2023 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 10 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Independencia Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Independencia Futebol Clube let in goals in 72% of their last 43 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Senador Guiomard stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senador Guiomard VS Independencia Futebol Clube
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senador Guiomard

(Home)
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 7

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Away)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vasco da Gama AC1
Galvez2
Senador Guiomard0
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Final
Galvez1
Independencia Futebol Clube3