Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal U20 vs Japan U20

World World

World Cup U20 2023 Estadio Unico Diego Armando Maradona, La Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Matsuki K.
Assist: Fukui T.
21'
Diallo S.
46'
Sub
Einaga T. In: Yamane R.
Out: Einaga T.

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 in this World Cup U20 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Senegal U20
20%
Draws
60%
Japan U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Japan U20 average 2.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Senegal U20's 1.69.
  • Japan U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U20 Japan U20
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.69 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2023 World Cup U20
Senegal U20 vs Japan U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsuki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U20 10 / 100
Japan U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U20 Japan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Senegal U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Japan U20 let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U20 VS Japan U20
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U20

(Home)
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
02 May
Senegal U20
1 : 1
Central Africa U20
23 Mar
Senegal U20
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
Page 1 of 6

Japan U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Japan U20
4 : 0
Yemen U20
03 Sept
Cambodia U20
0 : 8
Japan U20
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0
Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
06 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 0
Canada U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Uzbekistan U20 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 New Zealand U20 3 1 1 1 3:7 4
4 Guatemala U20 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Ecuador U20 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Slovakia U20 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Fiji U20 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Israel U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Japan U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Senegal U20 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
Promotion - World Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
2 Italy U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Dominican Republic U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U20 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Uruguay U20 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Tunisia U20 3 1 0 2 3:2 3
4 Iraq U20 3 0 1 2 0:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 South Korea U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 France U20 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Honduras U20 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams